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<div class="moz-cite-prefix"><font face="Times New Roman">Adi,<br>
<br>
I believe this election data has been around for years. The
demarcation board lists all the ward data, it used to be that
one had to ask for it specially.<br>
<br>
Great work, Fantastic stuff.<br>
<br>
Some comments - I don’t believe that your 10% criteria is a fair
reflection of the "safety" of that ward. I believe that a better
method would be to colour code the winning party, and write its
victory total (ie 55% of all votes) and its margin of victory in
percentage (by ward) - ie if the winning party got 55% and the
next party got 35%, then it won by 20 points.<br>
<br>
When a party wins by the 65% upwards range, then it could be
considered safe. Of course their may be better ways, but with a
title aimed at 2016 I do think it should reflect percentage
victories to portray to people the possibilities in that data -
how safe it is, perhaps with a merger it could change, if people
of one party dont vote because of a viable alternative - who
would win etc... - a whole miriad of possibilities.<br>
<br>
Regards<br>
<br>
Peter<br>
</font>
<pre class="moz-signature" cols="72">Peter Newmarch
Professional Land Surveyor
4Y GeoInformatics Pty Ltd
Tel : +27 31 5642856
Fax : +27 31 5643074
Mobile : +27 82 5705859
eMail : <a class="moz-txt-link-abbreviated" href="mailto:newmarch@land-surveyors.com">newmarch@land-surveyors.com</a>
</pre>
On 23/03/2013 21:23, Chris wrote:<br>
</div>
<blockquote
cite="mid:514E1D67.12292.1691E735@chris.airphotoafrica.co.za"
type="cite">
<pre wrap="">
I wonder if any politicians are statisticians
and
IF any understand attributes and spatial statistics ? ( and forecasting )
Could be a gold mine for someone with the necessary knowledge and skills
CM
On 23 Mar 2013 at 20:38, Adi Eyal wrote:
</pre>
<blockquote type="cite">
<pre wrap="">Thanks Tim
</pre>
</blockquote>
<pre wrap="">
</pre>
<blockquote type="cite">
<pre wrap="">Yup - would you believe that the IEC publishes all their data
in gobsmacking detail? Have a look here: <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://www.elections.org.za">http://www.elections.org.za</a>.
You'll find the results for all the elections that have taken place over
the past two decades or so, down to the voting station. I got the
shapefiles from <a class="moz-txt-link-abbreviated" href="http://www.demarcation.gov.za">www.demarcation.gov.za</a>.
</pre>
</blockquote>
<pre wrap="">
</pre>
<blockquote type="cite">
<pre wrap="">Adi
</pre>
</blockquote>
<pre wrap="">
</pre>
<blockquote type="cite">
<pre wrap="">On 23 March 2013 20:35, Tim Sutton <a class="moz-txt-link-rfc2396E" href="mailto:tim@linfiniti.com"><tim@linfiniti.com></a> wrote:
</pre>
<blockquote type="cite">
<pre wrap="">Hi Adi
On Sat, Mar 23, 2013 at 6:03 PM, Adi Eyal <a class="moz-txt-link-rfc2396E" href="mailto:adi@burgercom.co.za"><adi@burgercom.co.za></a> wrote:
</pre>
<blockquote type="cite">
<pre wrap="">Hi All
I've been fiddling around the election data from the last municipal
elections and I've put together a graphic showing which wards were
</pre>
</blockquote>
<pre wrap="">contested
</pre>
<blockquote type="cite">
<pre wrap="">and which are strongholds. I defined contested as there being a less
than 10% difference in vote counts between the first and second place
winners.
I'm by no means a cartographer and this is one of my first projects so
I
</pre>
</blockquote>
<pre wrap="">was
</pre>
<blockquote type="cite">
<pre wrap="">hoping for comments about how one might improve the maps. I guess the
one problem is that even though you know that a ward is contested, you
don't know by how much. Also (and i'm not sure this is important) you
don't
</pre>
</blockquote>
<pre wrap="">know
</pre>
<blockquote type="cite">
<pre wrap="">from the map what the individual wards are - only the municipality
they
</pre>
</blockquote>
<pre wrap="">are
</pre>
<blockquote type="cite">
<pre wrap="">in. Finally, I don't know where most of these municipalities are
</pre>
</blockquote>
<pre wrap="">situated so
</pre>
<blockquote type="cite">
<pre wrap="">perhaps so sort of contextual map showing them in relation to the rest
of the country might be useful. Of course all of these things are
possible
</pre>
</blockquote>
<pre wrap="">but
</pre>
<blockquote type="cite">
<pre wrap="">might not be easy to achieve while still maintaining an uncluttered
</pre>
</blockquote>
<pre wrap="">design.
</pre>
<blockquote type="cite">
<pre wrap="">
Any advice would be appreciated. The small version of the image can be
</pre>
</blockquote>
<pre wrap="">found
</pre>
<blockquote type="cite">
<pre wrap="">here: <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://za.okfn.org/2013/03/23/battle-for-local-municipalities/">http://za.okfn.org/2013/03/23/battle-for-local-municipalities/</a>.
</pre>
</blockquote>
<pre wrap="">The
</pre>
<blockquote type="cite">
<pre wrap="">complete poster is also available as pdf linked to on the site.
Hopefully this sort of question is not frowned upon in this forum (if
it helps, everything here was produced with open source tools :)).
</pre>
</blockquote>
<pre wrap="">
Great project!
Is the source data you used available somewhere publicly? If so can you
provide a link to it?
Regards
Tim
</pre>
<blockquote type="cite">
<pre wrap="">Thanks
Adi
--
Adi Eyal
Data Specialist
phone: +27 78 014 2469
skype: adieyalcas
linkedin: <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://za.linkedin.com/pub/dir/Adi/Eyal">http://za.linkedin.com/pub/dir/Adi/Eyal</a>
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</pre>
</blockquote>
<pre wrap="">
--
Tim Sutton - QGIS Project Steering Committee Member (Release Manager)
============================================== Visit
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://linfiniti.com">http://linfiniti.com</a> to find out about:
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</pre>
</blockquote>
<pre wrap="">
--
Adi Eyal
Data Specialist
phone: +27 78 014 2469
skype: adieyalcas
linkedin: <a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://za.linkedin.com/pub/dir/Adi/Eyal">http://za.linkedin.com/pub/dir/Adi/Eyal</a>
</pre>
</blockquote>
<pre wrap="">
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</blockquote>
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