notes before going to sleep:<br><br>1000 is my optimal target for this year even if 800 would sounds as a great result too. We are at 429 now.<br><br>I have the feeling we can expand our marketing to many more people that what we imagine.<br>
you'll better start promoting your event from the day FOSS4G2010 ends (please don't sooner). Get ready with your website so we can link to your site while many visitors are still on ours.<br> <br>Start the media agreements ASAP, we've been little lazy with it. We decided not to spend money or free entrances with Media Partners and the time will tell if we did right. Anyway relations with media are important and we dedicated a person to it, choose one soon; he should take care of magazines and mailing lists for you.<br>
We hope to give a good list of international magazines and you will have just to extend the agreements.<br><br>lorenzo<br><br><br><div class="gmail_quote">On Wed, Jun 16, 2010 at 11:37 PM, Cameron Shorter <span dir="ltr"><<a href="mailto:cameron.shorter@gmail.com">cameron.shorter@gmail.com</a>></span> wrote:<br>
<blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="margin: 0pt 0pt 0pt 0.8ex; border-left: 1px solid rgb(204, 204, 204); padding-left: 1ex;">
<div bgcolor="#ffffff" text="#000000">
Good work with your analysis.<br>
<br>
My input:<br>
There are around 250 to 300 core international foss4g attendees who
will attend every year.<br>
Europe (a big polulation center) has just had a conference in 2010, so
their attendance will be down. I'd guess that their figures will be
somewhere between 2008 and 2009. (Europe had less people come in 2009
than we expected).<br>
<br>
Overall, I think your assessment that you will have similar numbers to
Canada is probably reasonably accurate. I'm hope to see 100 to 300
people more than Canada, with the US having a higher population density.<br>
<br>
So targeting a conference venue to cater for at least 900 to 1000
maximum people should be fine.<div><div></div><div class="h5"><br>
<br>
<br>
On 17/06/10 00:43, Eric Wolf wrote:
</div></div><blockquote type="cite"><div><div></div><div class="h5">I have beat my head against the attendance projections
long enough now to realize that there is no formula based on the data
we have collected about past FOSS4G events to predict future events.
What I think works best is to take the top 20 countries and make three
guesses for each about how many people are likely to attend: low, mid
and high. The low being near the low end of that country's attendance
history, the mid being near the average (unless their is a definite
upward trend), and the high being near that country's highest
attendance. I did not make allowances for downward trends due to the
recent economic factors. The host country would contribute 50%-60% of
the attendance. Fortunately, I had a high US attendance in Victoria to
provide some confidence.
<div><br>
</div>
<div>My guess for attendance at FOSS4G 2011 in Denver is:</div>
<div><br>
</div>
<div>Low: 426</div>
<div>Mid: 839</div>
<div>High: 1431 (capped at 1200)</div>
<div><br>
</div>
<div>Brady Forrest, who organizes the Where 2.0 conference for
O'Reilly and has attended FOSS4G in the past, said he thinks we should
expect the same number as Victoria, plus or minus 100 (621-821). That
bears out with my guesstimate. We do have a wildcard with access to the
GITA members who are not traditionally FOSS4G attendees.</div>
<div><br>
</div>
<div>Does anyone have any other input?</div>
<div><br>
</div>
<div>I have also been working on "attendee profiles" to help GITA put
together their bid requests from the venues. I did not think it was
fair to create a single attendee profile for FOSS4G as it's a diverse
conference. The breakdown of these attendees is important because we
need to be able to estimate how many people will stay in the conference
hotel. It is typical in the US for many venue costs to be eliminated
based on the number of people staying in the hotel. Please see the
Wiki: <a href="http://wiki.osgeo.org/wiki/FOSS4G_2011_Denver_Attendance_Projections" target="_blank">http://wiki.osgeo.org/wiki/FOSS4G_2011_Denver_Attendance_Projections</a></div>
<div><br>
</div>
<div>-Eric</div>
<div><br clear="all">
-=--=---=----=----=---=--=-=--=---=----=---=--=-=-<br>
Eric B. Wolf New! 720-334-7734<br>
USGS Geographer<br>
Center of Excellence in GIScience<br>
PhD Student <br>
CU-Boulder - Geography<br>
<br>
GPG Public Key: <a href="http://www.h4h.net/ebwolf.public.key.txt" target="_blank">http://www.h4h.net/ebwolf.public.key.txt</a><br>
</div>
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<pre cols="72">--
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