[OSGeo Africa] Election maps

[Peter Newmarch]

Xolisile

That is very interesting, but if a percentage (say 10%) is moving to 
urbanised areas - then rural municipalities should be shown on a 20% basis ?

Regards

Peter

Peter Newmarch
Professional Land Surveyor
4Y GeoInformatics Pty Ltd
Tel : +27 31 5642856
Fax : +27 31 5643074
Mobile     : +27 82 5705859
eMail     : newmarch at land-surveyors.com

On 23/03/2013 22:22, Xolisile Gcobo wrote:
> Hi Peter,
>
> The 10% may be a relevant piece of analytical benchmark 'before' elections. Residential building information talks to a shift of population profiles and migration issues as reflected by Stats SA data, so past performance on tight margins may change the game plan at where it matters, the municipal level elections.
>
> Xolisile GCOBO
> 0842538820
>
>   
> Sent from my BlackBerry®
>
> -----Original Message-----
> From: Peter Newmarch <newmarch at land-surveyors.com>
> Date: Sat, 23 Mar 2013 19:42:32
> To: <africa at lists.osgeo.org>
> Subject: Re: [OSGeo Africa] Election maps
>
>
> Adi,
>   
>   I believe this election data has been around for years. The demarcation board lists all the ward data, it used to be that one had to ask for it specially.
>   
>   Great work, Fantastic stuff.
>   
>   Some comments - I don't believe that your 10% criteria is a fair reflection of the "safety" of that ward. I believe that a better method would be to colour code the winning party, and write its victory total (ie 55% of all votes) and its margin of victory in percentage (by ward) - ie if the winning party got 55% and the next party got 35%, then it won by 20 points.
>   
>   When a party wins by the 65% upwards range, then it could be considered safe. Of course their may be better ways, but with a title aimed at 2016 I do think it should reflect percentage victories to portray to people the possibilities in that data - how safe it is, perhaps with a merger it could change, if people of one party dont vote because of a viable alternative - who would win etc... - a whole miriad of possibilities.
>   
>   Regards
>   
>   Peter
>   Peter Newmarch Professional Land Surveyor 4Y GeoInformatics Pty Ltd Tel : +27 31 5642856 Fax : +27 31 5643074 Mobile : +27 82 5705859 eMail : newmarch at land-surveyors.com <mailto:newmarch at land-surveyors.com>  On 23/03/2013 21:23, Chris wrote:
>   I wonder if any politicians are statisticians and IF any understand attributes and spatial statistics ? ( and forecasting ) Could be a gold mine for someone with the necessary knowledge and skills CM On 23 Mar 2013 at 20:38, Adi Eyal wrote: Thanks Tim  Yup - would you believe that the IEC publishes all their data in gobsmacking detail? Have a look here: http://www.elections.org.za. You'll find the results for all the elections that have taken place over the past two decades or so, down to the voting station. I got the shapefiles from www.demarcation.gov.za <http://www.demarcation.gov.za> .  Adi On 23 March 2013 20:35, Tim Sutton <tim at linfiniti.com> <mailto:tim at linfiniti.com>  wrote: Hi Adi On Sat, Mar 23, 2013 at 6:03 PM, Adi Eyal <adi at burgercom.co.za> <mailto:adi at burgercom.co.za>  wrote: Hi All I've been fiddling around the election data from the last municipal elections and I've put together a graphic showing which wards were contested and which are strongholds. I defined contested as there being a less than 10% difference in vote counts between the first and second place winners. I'm by no means a cartographer and this is one of my first projects so I was hoping for comments about how one might improve the maps. I guess the one problem is that even though you know that a ward is contested, you don't know by how much. Also (and i'm not sure this is important) you don't know from the map what the individual wards are - only the municipality they are in. Finally, I don't know where most of these municipalities are situated so perhaps so sort of contextual map showing them in relation to the rest of the country might be useful. Of course all of these things are possible but might not be easy to achieve while still maintaining an uncluttered design. Any advice would be appreciated. The small version of the image can be found here: http://za.okfn.org/2013/03/23/battle-for-local-municipalities/. The complete poster is also available as pdf linked to on the site. Hopefully this sort of question is not frowned upon in this forum (if it helps, everything here was produced with open source tools :)). Great project! Is the source data you used available somewhere publicly? If so can you provide a link to it? Regards Tim Thanks Adi -- Adi Eyal Data Specialist phone: +27 78 014 2469 skype: adieyalcas linkedin: http://za.linkedin.com/pub/dir/Adi/Eyal _______________________________________________ Africa mailing list Africa at lists.osgeo.org <mailto:Africa at lists.osgeo.org> http://lists.osgeo.org/mailman/listinfo/africa -- Tim Sutton - QGIS Project Steering Committee Member (Release Manager) ============================================== Visit http://linfiniti.com to find out about: * QGIS programming services * GeoDjango web development * FOSS Consulting Services Skype: timlinux Irc: timlinux on #qgis at freenode.net ============================================== _______________________________________________ Africa mailing list Africa at lists.osgeo.org <mailto:Africa at lists.osgeo.org> http://lists.osgeo.org/mailman/listinfo/africa -- Adi Eyal Data Specialist phone: +27 78 014 2469 skype: adieyalcas linkedin: http://za.linkedin.com/pub/dir/Adi/Eyal _______________________________________________ Africa mailing list Africa at lists.osgeo.org <mailto:Africa at lists.osgeo.org> http://lists.osgeo.org/mailman/listinfo/africa
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