[Board] Preliminary Survey Results

[christopher.schmidt at nokia.com]

On Sep 22, 2011, at 10:37 PM, ext Mark Lucas wrote:

> Yep, and that is just returning attendees.  67% were new attendees for 2011.  So it would seem we could easily duplicate the 900 attendees at this years conference.

I don't think it works like that.

FOSS4G was in the US for the first time in a long time; the space itself has changed
drastically since 2004 (or even 2007) when it was last practical to attend
the conf. for a lot of people.

I think that the new market for attendees was huge this year, but I don't
think it's fair to extrapolate that it will *always* be that big;
I think that imagining the market/space will grow by as much between 
2011->2012 as it did between 2007 and 2011 is a pretty big 
expectation.

I would start with mpg's numbers and go up slightly, unless you believe there
is somehow a very large untapped potential that Denver did not address; 
I think that imagining a 25% growth of new attendees is reasonable, but
expecting *two thirds* new attendees again would be excessive.

-- Chris

> Mark
> 
> On Sep 22, 2011, at 9:34 PM, Michael P. Gerlek wrote:
> 
>> For “likely to attend a FOSS4G in NorAmer next year” (#19), the responses were
>>  
>> 1: 10%
>> 2: 10%
>> 3: 25%
>> 4: 20%
>> 5: 35%
>>  
>> Let us assign probabilities to the 1-5 scale like this:
>>  
>> 1: 0% (will not attend)
>> 2: 20% chance of attending
>> 3: 40%
>> 4: 60%
>> 5: 80%
>>  
>> Assume 900 attendees at this conference.  Then, we can project the attendance at the postulated local NorAmer conference to be
>>  
>> .10(900) * 0 + .10(900) * .20 + .25(900) * .40 + .20(900) * .60 + .35(900) * .80
>> = 0 + 18 + 90 + 108 + 252
>> = 468
>>  
>> Check my math, but we could be looking at a ~500 person gig.
>>  
>> -mpg
>>  
>>  
>>  
>> From: board-bounces at lists.osgeo.org [mailto:board-bounces at lists.osgeo.org] On Behalf Of Peter Batty
>> Sent: Thursday, September 22, 2011 6:02 PM
>> To: foss4g2011-private; board at lists.osgeo.org; conference
>> Subject: [Board] Fwd: Preliminary Survey Results
>>  
>> Hi all,
>>  
>> Thought I would share a few preliminary results from the post-FOSS4G survey. As James says below, we'll get the data in a better form for analysis once we close the survey. But we got responses from 1/3 of attendees within 24 hours, which is great!
>>  
>> A few things I'd highlight:
>>  
>> 67% of attendees were at their first FOSS4G
>> 46% answered 5 to the question how heavily do you currently use geospatial open source, remainder split fairly evenly between 1-4.
>> 61% were software developers as main job function, 18% end users, 20% managers
>> Overall rating of FOSS4G was 4.31 on a scale of 1-5, which is impressive!
>> Highest ranked function was the Wynkoop reception at 4.55.
>> Quality of presentations was ranked at 4.07.
>> 72% answered 1 or 2 on how likely they are to be in Beijing, 14% answered 4 or 5.
>> 57% answered 4 or 5 on attending a "local FOSS4G" if there was one in North America next year.
>> Of various possible options proposed for future FOSS4Gs, the one involving an annual local conference in North America was the highest rated by some margin (though obviously a sample skewed towards North Americans).
>>  
>> We need the more detailed spreadsheet to get scores and comments for individual workshops, I think that will be another important thing to look at in planning for next year.
>>  
>> Lots of interesting stuff in the comments too that we can use to make future events better.
>> 
>> Cheers,
>>     Peter.
>>  
>> ---------- Forwarded message ----------
>> From: James Sakamoto <jsakamoto at gita.org>
>> Date: Thu, Sep 22, 2011 at 3:36 PM
>> Subject: Preliminary Survey Results
>> To: Peter Batty <peter at ebatty.com>
>> Cc: Bob Samborski <bsamborski at gita.org>, Libby Hanna <lhanna at gita.org>, Patricia Essex <pessex at gita.org>
>> 
>> 
>> Hi Pete,
>>  
>> Thought we would share the preliminary survey results.  It is still very early but, so far, you almost have 300 (285) responses which would be nearly 33%!!!  That is a tremendous response.  Generally we get about 10-15%.
>>  
>> This is just the summarized PDF synopsis.  When the survey closes we should be able to provide you with an Excel formatted report that you can manipulate as you please.
>>  
>> Thanks,
>>  
>> James
>>  
>> James Sakamoto
>> Senior Education Coordinator
>> GITA
>> 14456 East Evans Ave
>> Aurora, CO 80014
>> (720) 496-0484
>> jsakamoto at gita.org
>>  
>> October 24-26, GIS for Oil & Gas Pipeline Conference, Houston, TX  www.gita.org/oilgas
>> 
>> <image001.jpg>
>>  
>>  
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