[OSGeo-Conf] FOSS4G 2011 Attendance Projections and Attendee
lorenzo at ominiverdi.com
Wed Jun 16 18:07:19 EDT 2010
notes before going to sleep:
1000 is my optimal target for this year even if 800 would sounds as a great
result too. We are at 429 now.
I have the feeling we can expand our marketing to many more people that what
you'll better start promoting your event from the day FOSS4G2010 ends
(please don't sooner). Get ready with your website so we can link to your
site while many visitors are still on ours.
Start the media agreements ASAP, we've been little lazy with it. We decided
not to spend money or free entrances with Media Partners and the time will
tell if we did right. Anyway relations with media are important and we
dedicated a person to it, choose one soon; he should take care of magazines
and mailing lists for you.
We hope to give a good list of international magazines and you will have
just to extend the agreements.
On Wed, Jun 16, 2010 at 11:37 PM, Cameron Shorter <cameron.shorter at gmail.com
> Good work with your analysis.
> My input:
> There are around 250 to 300 core international foss4g attendees who will
> attend every year.
> Europe (a big polulation center) has just had a conference in 2010, so
> their attendance will be down. I'd guess that their figures will be
> somewhere between 2008 and 2009. (Europe had less people come in 2009 than
> we expected).
> Overall, I think your assessment that you will have similar numbers to
> Canada is probably reasonably accurate. I'm hope to see 100 to 300 people
> more than Canada, with the US having a higher population density.
> So targeting a conference venue to cater for at least 900 to 1000 maximum
> people should be fine.
> On 17/06/10 00:43, Eric Wolf wrote:
> I have beat my head against the attendance projections long enough now to
> realize that there is no formula based on the data we have collected about
> past FOSS4G events to predict future events. What I think works best is to
> take the top 20 countries and make three guesses for each about how many
> people are likely to attend: low, mid and high. The low being near the low
> end of that country's attendance history, the mid being near the average
> (unless their is a definite upward trend), and the high being near that
> country's highest attendance. I did not make allowances for downward trends
> due to the recent economic factors. The host country would contribute
> 50%-60% of the attendance. Fortunately, I had a high US attendance in
> Victoria to provide some confidence.
> My guess for attendance at FOSS4G 2011 in Denver is:
> Low: 426
> Mid: 839
> High: 1431 (capped at 1200)
> Brady Forrest, who organizes the Where 2.0 conference for O'Reilly and
> has attended FOSS4G in the past, said he thinks we should expect the same
> number as Victoria, plus or minus 100 (621-821). That bears out with my
> guesstimate. We do have a wildcard with access to the GITA members who are
> not traditionally FOSS4G attendees.
> Does anyone have any other input?
> I have also been working on "attendee profiles" to help GITA put together
> their bid requests from the venues. I did not think it was fair to create a
> single attendee profile for FOSS4G as it's a diverse conference. The
> breakdown of these attendees is important because we need to be able to
> estimate how many people will stay in the conference hotel. It is typical in
> the US for many venue costs to be eliminated based on the number of people
> staying in the hotel. Please see the Wiki:
> Eric B. Wolf New! 720-334-7734
> USGS Geographer
> Center of Excellence in GIScience
> PhD Student
> CU-Boulder - Geography
> GPG Public Key: http://www.h4h.net/ebwolf.public.key.txt
> Conference_dev mailing listConference_dev at lists.osgeo.orghttp://lists.osgeo.org/mailman/listinfo/conference_dev
> Cameron Shorter
> Geospatial Director
> Tel: +61 (0)2 8570 5050
> Mob: +61 (0)419 142 254
> Think Globally, Fix Locally
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